In recent weeks we have had a number of articles published here at Magic City Morning Star News, including:
Today I bring to your attention another article by Andrew Bolt entitled: Just one more baseless scare - like the 26 before
The article presents findings of two Academic Forecasters who have researched the debate on Global Warming. Here is a fraction of what is presented in the article.
- It's the work of South Australian academic Dr Kesten C. Green and American forecasting expert J. Scott Armstrong:
We summarize evidence showing that the global warming alarm movement has more of the character of a political movement than that of a scientific controversy. We then make forecasts of the effects and outcomes of this movement using a structured analysis of analogous situations-a method that has been shown to produce accurate forecasts for conflict situations...
The structured analogies approach suggests that the current global warming alarm is simply the latest example of a common social phenomenon: an alarm based on unscientific forecasts of a calamity.
We conclude that the global warming alarm will fade, but not before much additional harm is done by governments and individuals making inferior decisions on the basis of unscientific forecasts...
The article is an eye-opener on the 'unscientific' way many warnings are handled. Do read the full article.
Posted by R.P. BenDedek (www kingscalendar com) Email: rpbendedek@hotmail.com
